Nvidia’s stock price has been on a tear in recent years, more than quadrupling in value since the start of 2020. This has led some analysts to question whether the stock is overvalued. While others, like Rob Arnott, are calling it a bubble that’s likely to pop and could bring the market down with it.

There are a few reasons why Nvidia’s stock price could be considered overvalued. First, the company’s valuation multiples are very high. For example, Nvidia’s price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) is currently over 110, which is well above the average P/E ratio for the S&P 500. This means that investors are paying a premium for Nvidia stock, even though the company’s earnings growth is not that much higher than the market average.

Second, Nvidia’s growth is slowing. The company’s revenue growth has been decelerating in recent quarters, and analysts are expecting growth to slow further in the future. This is due to a number of factors, including the chip shortage, which is limiting Nvidia’s ability to meet demand, and the increasing competition from other chipmakers.

Third, Nvidia is facing some risks in its core gaming business. The gaming market is maturing, and there are concerns that Nvidia’s growth in this market is starting to plateau. Additionally, the gaming market is cyclical, and it is possible that a downturn in the gaming market could hurt Nvidia’s stock price.

If Nvidia’s stock price is overvalued, it is possible that it could “pop” and cause a market crash. This would happen if investors start to sell off Nvidia stock in large numbers, which would drive down the price of the stock and could lead to a sell-off in other stocks as well.

However, it is important to note that there is no guarantee that Nvidia’s stock price will crash. The company is still a leading player in the semiconductor industry, and it has a strong track record of innovation. Additionally, the chip shortage is expected to ease in the coming quarters, which could help Nvidia’s growth.

Ultimately, whether or not Nvidia’s stock price is overvalued is a matter of opinion. Investors should do their own research and decide for themselves whether or not they believe the stock is a good investment.